Democrats and Republicans are now tied in Gallup’s weekly tracking of voter preferences, just a week after Republicans took an unprecedented l0-point lead.
[…] I think Gallup did this on purpose to tell Washington DC to get off Gallup’s nuts about the generic ballot.
I think we just need better cross-tabs. “Among likely voters who are sure Obama is a US citizen…” and “among likely voters who believe Iraq attacked America on 9/11” would be two very interesting ones. That or sample size needs to go up considerably. When you have subgroups as dutifully uninformed as we do, you have to make serious allowances or change your methodology.
Republicans Slip From Unprecedented Lead to a Tie in Gallup Survey