Paul Starr argues that, because of the potential for real public backlash, the individual mandate should contain an opt-out provision. In a nutshell, you could choose to opt out of coverage…on the condition that you couldn’t easily opt back in for a five year period afterwords.
I agree with Starr that the mandate is the thing that will really burn people up come, oh, 2075 when the last provisions of this damned bill actually go into effect. And that, if the compromises continue, what you’ll have is a mandate to buy today’s overpriced, under-provisioned insurance…now: with a guarantee of coverage! And but so I tend to think a different kind of solution is necessary when talking about the mandate.
Instead of a fine, you automatically enroll mandated but uninsured individuals into Medicare at whatever the premium cost is for a person of their age (and, yes, I’m therefore proposing here that Medicare-based coverage would/should then be open to anybody of any age that fails to procure private insurance; this doesn’t change the fact that it’s a terrible idea that the smelly hippies will hate, hate, hate). That’s the fine: that you have paid for coverage the hard way…through your tax return; but you’ve ultimately just paid for coverage. The end. No further fines, certainly no jail time, just coverage. Whether you like it or not. If you choose not to decide: you still have made a choice.
Ultimately the opt-out only allows for that most dangerous of impulses: the free rider. I won’t pay until I’m really sick or hit by that bus. It just can’t be allowed if we’re to have any chance at all of containing costs. In many ways, it’s precisely this sort of non-covered coverage that is already driving costs today.